Sport Picks
Netherlands vs Serbia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
UEFA Nations League Philips Stadion, Eindhoven 
Match Events
14'
14'
Gudelj S.
30'
30'
Pavlovic S.
31'
31'
Koopmeiners T.
AI Match Summary
Netherlands in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Netherlands
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Netherlands lately — more wins on the board than Serbia.
- Model gives Netherlands a 80% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Netherlands Clean Sheet 68%
Serbia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Netherlands | Serbia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.41 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Netherlands vs Serbia
2:1
Sep 27, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Serbia vs Netherlands
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Netherlands Compare
Top Goalscorer Koopmeiners T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zirkzee J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Serbia Compare
Top Goalscorer Cvetkovic M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Netherlands 95 / 100
Serbia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Netherlands Serbia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Netherlands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 10:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Netherlands scored in 94% of their last 34 outings.
Away concern: Serbia has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Serbia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Netherlands VS Serbia
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Netherlands
(Home) 04 Oct
Netherlands
2 : 1 Serbia
01 Oct
Greece
2 : 2 Netherlands
27 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2 Netherlands
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1 Germany
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2 Morocco
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Netherlands
2 : 1 Serbia
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1 Germany
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2 Morocco
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1 Sweden
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2 Japan
Page 1 of 5
Serbia
(Away) 04 Oct
Netherlands
2 : 1 Serbia
01 Oct
Germany
2 : 0 Serbia
27 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2 Netherlands
24 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2 Greece
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1 Serbia
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Netherlands
2 : 1 Serbia
01 Oct
Germany
2 : 0 Serbia
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1 Serbia
31 May
Cape Verde
3 : 0 Serbia
27 Mar
Spain
3 : 0 Serbia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
