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Netherlands W vs Finland W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Miedema V.
Assist: van de Donk D.
18'
Lehtola N.
25'

AI Match Summary

Netherlands W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Netherlands W
15%
Draws
51%
Finland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Netherlands W lately — more wins on the board than Finland W.
  • Finland W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Netherlands W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Netherlands W Clean Sheet 20%
Finland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands W Finland W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2025 Friendly International Women
Netherlands W vs Finland W
2:1
Jun 4, 2024 Euro Women
Finland W vs Netherlands W
1:1
May 31, 2024 Euro Women
Netherlands W vs Finland W
1:0
Jul 2, 2022 Friendly International Women
Netherlands W vs Finland W
2:0
Feb 19, 2022 Tournoi de France Women
Finland W vs Netherlands W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miedema V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Finland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Siren O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands W 24 / 100
Finland W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands W Finland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Netherlands W scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Finland W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Netherlands W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands W VS Finland W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands W

(Home)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
France W
1 : 1
Netherlands W
14 Apr
Netherlands W
2 : 1
France W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
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Finland W

(Away)
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
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