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Neudrossenfeld vs Fortuna Regensburg

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Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 game between Neudrossenfeld and Fortuna Regensburg finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortuna Regensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Neudrossenfeld
44%
Draws
20%
Fortuna Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Neudrossenfeld carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Neudrossenfeld Clean Sheet 10%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neudrossenfeld Fortuna Regensburg
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Neudrossenfeld vs Fortuna Regensburg
1:0
May 2, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Neudrossenfeld
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Neudrossenfeld vs Fortuna Regensburg
0:2
May 10, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Neudrossenfeld
9:2
Oct 11, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Neudrossenfeld vs Fortuna Regensburg
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neudrossenfeld 34 / 100
Fortuna Regensburg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neudrossenfeld Fortuna Regensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fortuna Regensburg conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Neudrossenfeld's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Neudrossenfeld has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neudrossenfeld VS Fortuna Regensburg
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Neudrossenfeld

(Home)
21 Jul
Neudrossenfeld
1 : 0
Fortuna Regensburg
16 May
Neudrossenfeld
1 : 2
Ingolstadt II
08 May
Bayern Hof
1 : 1
Neudrossenfeld
02 May
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 1
Neudrossenfeld
24 Apr
Neudrossenfeld
3 : 4
Regensburg II
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Fortuna Regensburg

(Away)
21 Jul
Neudrossenfeld
1 : 0
Fortuna Regensburg
16 May
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 2
Weiden
08 May
Ingolstadt II
2 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
02 May
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 1
Neudrossenfeld
24 Apr
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 2
Coburg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eltersdorf32212955:3065
2Cham32178758:3559
3ASV Neumarkt32185968:5059
4Gebenbach321651153:4753
5Bamberg321312754:3951
6Weiden321311857:3950
7Ingolstadt II321461264:5448
8Fortuna Regensburg321291166:5845
9Regensburg II321351459:5344
10Bayern Hof3211101156:5143
11Neudrossenfeld321251547:5441
12TSV Kornburg329131048:5040
13Wurzburger FV321071546:6237
14ATSV Erlangen321071543:6137
15Stadeln321121942:6535
16Coburg32932044:8130
17Grossschwarzenlohe32482035:6620
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)