Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nevesinje vs Kozara

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nevesinje play Kozara in the Prva Liga - RS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nevesinje averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Kozara averaged 1 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Nevesinje won 0, Kozara won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 22, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Nevesinje and 0.94 for Kozara. This points to a Kozara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nevesinje
22%
Draws
42%
Kozara
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kozara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Nevesinje picked up more points recently compared to Kozara.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Nevesinje Clean Sheet 24%
Kozara Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nevesinje Kozara
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Nevesinje vs Kozara
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Nevesinje
4:3
Mar 8, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Nevesinje
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Nevesinje vs Kozara
0:0
Mar 27, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Nevesinje
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nevesinje Compare

Top Goalscorer Prodanovic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kozara Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleksic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nevesinje 37 / 100
Kozara 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nevesinje Kozara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kozara or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nevesinje attacking → ← attacking Kozara

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nevesinje scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Kozara let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Nevesinje went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kozara lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 39
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Laktasi24146445:1648
2BSK Banja Luka24145538:1947
3Leotar241210237:1546
4Kozara24106824:2536
5Slavija2498728:2335
6Zvornik241041036:2034
7Zvijezda 0924861023:3130
8Sutjeska Foca24851131:3429
9Romanija Pale24841224:3128
10Nevesinje24831327:4127
11Famos Vojkovici24761122:4027
12Omarska24741325:4825
13Vlasenica24471314:3119
14Sloboda Novi Grad00000:00