Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nevezis Kedainiai vs FK Babrungas

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2025 Kedainiai Stadium, Kedainiai
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Mohil Y.
Own Goal
49'
Monkelis M.
65'
Sub
Pedro Bahia In: Borja P.
Out: Pedro Bahia

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2025 game between Nevezis Kedainiai and FK Babrungas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nevezis Kedainiai
6%
Draws
90%
FK Babrungas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Babrungas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FK Babrungas a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 10%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nevezis Kedainiai FK Babrungas
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 22
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 4 1.75
Goals Conceded 3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2025 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs FK Babrungas
1:1
May 9, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Nevezis Kedainiai
3:2
Oct 4, 2024 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs FK Babrungas
3:2
May 17, 2024 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Nevezis Kedainiai
1:1
Sep 29, 2023 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Nevezis Kedainiai
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nevezis Kedainiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Rukuiza K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

FK Babrungas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nevezis Kedainiai 10 / 100
FK Babrungas 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nevezis Kedainiai FK Babrungas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Nevezis Kedainiai scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

FK Babrungas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 32 matches.

Nevezis Kedainiai has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nevezis Kedainiai VS FK Babrungas
4 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nevezis Kedainiai

(Home)
09 Nov
Nevezis Kedainiai
4 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
31 Oct
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Nevezis Kedainiai
24 Oct
Nevezis Kedainiai
0 : 2
Ekranas
18 Oct
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1
Nevezis Kedainiai
04 Oct
Jonava
2 : 2
Nevezis Kedainiai
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FK Babrungas

(Away)
25 Jul
FK Babrungas
2 : 0
Ekranas
19 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2
FK Babrungas
27 Jun
Siauliai 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
24 Jun
FK Babrungas
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Jun
FK Babrungas
1 : 0
BE1 NFA
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Transinvest30261387:2279
2Neptunas30214568:2767
3Tauras Taurage30188456:2262
4FK Babrungas30177664:4358
5BFA Vilnius30167747:3655
6FK Atmosfera301461052:3448
7Zalgiris 2301191050:4842
8Jonava301191026:2542
9FK Minija301131627:4636
10Hegelmann Litauen 230871535:5131
11BE1 NFA30861635:5130
12Ekranas30921937:5829
13FK Kauno Zalgiris 230831943:5727
14Siauliai 230822041:7126
15Nevezis Kedainiai30751832:5826
16FK Panevezys 230632130:8121
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2025 (Relegation)