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New Caledonia U17 vs New Zealand U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2017
New Caledonia U17 Logo

New Caledonia U17

0 - 7
FT
New Zealand U17 Logo

New Zealand U17

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Just E.
36' Event
Cacace L.
62' Event
Mata M. A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-7, with New Zealand U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
New Caledonia U17
6%
Draws
90%
New Zealand U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Caledonia U17 haven't matched New Zealand U17's recent run of results.
  • New Zealand U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • New Zealand U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor New Zealand U17, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • New Zealand U17 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
New Caledonia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
New Zealand U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia U17 New Zealand U17
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2023 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U17 vs New Zealand U17
0:1
Jan 11, 2023 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs New Caledonia U17
3:2
Feb 25, 2017 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U17 vs New Zealand U17
0:7
Jan 19, 2015 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs New Caledonia U17
5:4
Apr 19, 2013 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U17 vs New Zealand U17
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Caledonia U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

New Zealand U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mata M. A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Just E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia U17 10 / 100
New Zealand U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia U17 New Zealand U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Difficult form: New Zealand U17 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

New Caledonia U17 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

New Zealand U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia U17 VS New Zealand U17
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

New Caledonia U17

(Home)
09 Nov
Morocco U17
16 : 0
New Caledonia U17
06 Nov
Japan U17
0 : 0
New Caledonia U17
03 Nov
New Caledonia U17
1 : 6
Portugal U17
17 Nov
Iran U17
5 : 0
New Caledonia U17
14 Nov
Brazil U17
9 : 0
New Caledonia U17
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New Zealand U17

(Away)
11 Nov
New Zealand U17
1 : 4
Austria U17
08 Nov
Saudi Arabia U17
3 : 2
New Zealand U17
05 Nov
Mali U17
3 : 0
New Zealand U17
18 Nov
New Zealand U17
0 : 4
Mexico U17
15 Nov
New Zealand U17
1 : 3
Germany U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Caledonia U173
Solomon Islands U172
New Zealand U172
Papua New Guinea U171
Final
New Caledonia U170
New Zealand U177