Sport Picks
New Caledonia U19 vs Samoa U19
Australia & Oceania
OFC Championship U19 
Match Events
2'
2'
Wamowa E.
9'
9'
Iopue F.
20'
20'
Wiako K.
AI Match Summary
New Caledonia U19 in this OFC Championship U19 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Caledonia U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Caledonia U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to New Caledonia U19 lately — more wins on the board than Samoa U19.
- Win probability leans New Caledonia U19's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U19 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
- New Caledonia U19 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 17%
Samoa U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Caledonia U19 | Samoa U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 14 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.52 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 2.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Samoa U19
4:2
Jul 12, 2024 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Samoa U19
2:1
Sep 15, 2022 OFC Championship U19
Samoa U19 vs New Caledonia U19
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New Caledonia U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Wamowa E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Iopue F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Samoa U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Afamasaga I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arratia Pio J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New Caledonia U19 84 / 100
Samoa U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New Caledonia U19 Samoa U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick New Caledonia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Samoa U19 let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.
Games between these two average 4.33 goals.
Attacking prowess: New Caledonia U19 scored in 76% of their last 25 outings.
Samoa U19 lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
New Caledonia U19 VS Samoa U19
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
New Caledonia U19
(Home) 13 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0 New Caledonia U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1 New Caledonia U19
06 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 7 New Caledonia U19
03 Sept
New Caledonia U19
1 : 3 Solomon Islands U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2 Samoa U19
Page 1 of 5
03 Sept
New Caledonia U19
1 : 3 Solomon Islands U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2 Samoa U19
18 Jul
New Caledonia U19
0 : 4 New Zealand U19
12 Jul
New Caledonia U19
2 : 1 Samoa U19
25 Sept
New Caledonia U19
2 : 1 Tahiti U19
Page 1 of 3
Samoa U19
(Away) 12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1 Vanuatu U19
07 Sept
Samoa U19
0 : 2 Solomon Islands U19
04 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 2 Samoa U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2 Samoa U19
16 Jul
Tahiti U19
4 : 0 Samoa U19
Page 1 of 3
04 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 2 Samoa U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2 Samoa U19
16 Jul
Tahiti U19
4 : 0 Samoa U19
12 Jul
New Caledonia U19
2 : 1 Samoa U19
09 Jul
New Zealand U19
5 : 0 Samoa U19
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Solomon Islands U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | New Caledonia U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Papua New Guinea U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 4 | Samoa U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (5th-8th places)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Tahiti U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 3 | Fiji U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Vanuatu U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:14 | 1 |
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (5th-8th places)
