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New Caledonia U19 vs Solomon Islands U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Wenisso R.
71' Event
Katrawa J.
75' Event
Longue V. N. T.

AI Match Summary

New Caledonia U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Caledonia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
New Caledonia U19
28%
Draws
22%
Solomon Islands U19
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: New Caledonia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • New Caledonia U19 have won more games recently than Solomon Islands U19.
  • Model gives New Caledonia U19 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U19 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • New Caledonia U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Solomon Islands U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia U19 Solomon Islands U19
Matches Played 20 23
Wins 12 11
Draws 1 1
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Solomon Islands U19 vs New Caledonia U19
2:3
Sep 18, 2022 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Solomon Islands U19
1:0
Aug 18, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Solomon Islands U19
4:1
Aug 7, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Solomon Islands U19
2:3
May 27, 2014 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Solomon Islands U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Caledonia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wenisso R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Katrawa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Solomon Islands U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wawane A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia U19 49 / 100
Solomon Islands U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia U19 Solomon Islands U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

New Caledonia U19 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (20 games).

Solomon Islands U19 has conceded goals in 61% of their last 23 outings.

New Caledonia U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia U19 VS Solomon Islands U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand U192
New Caledonia U191
Solomon Islands U191
Tahiti U193
Final
New Zealand U191
Tahiti U190
New Caledonia U194
Solomon Islands U191