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New Caledonia U23 vs Solomon Islands U23

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Caledonia U23 play Solomon Islands U23 in the Pacific Games 2015. New Caledonia U23 are favorites here. Recently, New Caledonia U23 averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Solomon Islands U23 averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, New Caledonia U23 won 1, Solomon Islands U23 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2015 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for New Caledonia U23 and 1.54 for Solomon Islands U23. This points to a New Caledonia U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
New Caledonia U23
15%
Draws
26%
Solomon Islands U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Caledonia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • New Caledonia U23 picked up more points recently compared to Solomon Islands U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.54 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23%
New Caledonia U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Solomon Islands U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia U23 Solomon Islands U23
Matches Played 5 16
Wins 4 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2015 Pacific Games
New Caledonia U23 vs Solomon Islands U23
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia U23 56 / 100
Solomon Islands U23 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia U23 Solomon Islands U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Caledonia U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick New Caledonia U23 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

New Caledonia U23 attacking → ← attacking Solomon Islands U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Caledonia U23 scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

Solomon Islands U23 let in goals in 69% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

New Caledonia U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Solomon Islands U23 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 18
1.20 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tahiti U23321032:17
2Fiji U23312039:15
3Vanuatu U23311148:34
4Micronesia U2330030:1140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1New Zealand U2333008:09
2New Caledonia U2332012:56
3Papua New Guinea U2331022:33
4Solomon Islands U2330031:50