Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Kalapai K.
57' Event
Padio R.
67' Event
Padio R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women game between New Caledonia W and Papua New Guinea W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Papua New Guinea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
New Caledonia W
15%
Draws
85%
Papua New Guinea W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Papua New Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Papua New Guinea W come out ahead of New Caledonia W on wins alone.
  • Papua New Guinea W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
New Caledonia W Clean Sheet 10%
Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia W Papua New Guinea W
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 23
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.83 3.42
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Friendly International Women
New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W
1:4
Mar 5, 2026 World Cup Women
New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W
0:4
Nov 16, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs New Caledonia W
0:0
Nov 23, 2023 Pacific Games Women
New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W
2:2
Dec 1, 2018 OFC Nations Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs New Caledonia W
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Caledonia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Papua New Guinea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Padio R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kalapai K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia W 10 / 100
Papua New Guinea W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia W Papua New Guinea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Papua New Guinea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: New Caledonia W scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Papua New Guinea W has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Papua New Guinea W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia W VS Papua New Guinea W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Caledonia W

(Home)
29 Sept
Fiji W
1 : 0
New Caledonia W
26 Sept
New Caledonia W
0 : 1
Solomon Islands W
23 Sept
Vanuatu W
5 : 0
New Caledonia W
20 Sept
New Caledonia W
1 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
15 Apr
Indonesia W
4 : 2
New Caledonia W
Page 1 of 6

Papua New Guinea W

(Away)
03 Oct
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 2
Vanuatu W
29 Sept
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 1
Solomon Islands W
26 Sept
Papua New Guinea W
2 : 0
Vanuatu W
20 Sept
New Caledonia W
1 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
17 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
Page 1 of 7