Sport Picks

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New England Revolution vs Atlanta United

USA USA

MLS Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New England Revolution host Atlanta United in the MLS. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. New England Revolution have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Atlanta United's 1.25 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, New England Revolution have won 4 to Atlanta United's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward New England Revolution. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
New England Revolution
17%
Draws
13%
Atlanta United
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New England Revolution lately — more wins on the board than Atlanta United.
  • Model gives New England Revolution a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and New England Revolution have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 18%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution Atlanta United
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs New England Revolution
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs Atlanta United
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs New England Revolution
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Atlanta United vs New England Revolution
2:0
Jul 3, 2024 MLS
New England Revolution vs Atlanta United
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 67 / 100
Atlanta United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution Atlanta United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Atlanta United has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: New England Revolution stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution VS Atlanta United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New England Revolution

(Home)
23 May
Charlotte FC
1 : 0
New England Revolution
16 May
New England Revolution
2 : 1
Minnesota United
13 May
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Nashville SC
09 May
New England Revolution
2 : 1
Philadelphia Union
02 May
New England Revolution
1 : 0
Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 6

Atlanta United

(Away)
24 May
Columbus Crew
2 : 0
Atlanta United
19 May
Orlando City
4 : 1
Atlanta United
16 May
Orlando City
1 : 1
Atlanta United
09 May
Atlanta United
1 : 2
Los Angeles Galaxy
02 May
Atlanta United
3 : 1
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)