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New England Revolution vs Atlanta United Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

MLS Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
New England Revolution Logo

New England Revolution

4 - 1
FT
Atlanta United Logo

Atlanta United

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gil C.
Assist: Polster M.
20'
Yusuf A.
31'
Edwards M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New England Revolution in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored New England Revolution.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
New England Revolution
30%
Draws
28%
Atlanta United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New England Revolution lately — more wins on the board than Atlanta United.
  • Model gives New England Revolution a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and New England Revolution have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 17%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution Atlanta United
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs Atlanta United
4:1
Apr 22, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs New England Revolution
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs Atlanta United
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs New England Revolution
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Atlanta United vs New England Revolution
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turgeman D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Atlanta United Compare

Top Goalscorer Almiron M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 57 / 100
Atlanta United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution Atlanta United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New England Revolution Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlanta United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: New England Revolution scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: New England Revolution stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution VS Atlanta United
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New England Revolution

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
06 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 1
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

Atlanta United

(Away)
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2
New York City
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3
Orlando City
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Atlanta United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 26 15 5 6 59:26 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
9 Seattle Sounders 26 9 8 9 33:34 35
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 26 6 3 17 31:63 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
5 Chicago Fire 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)