Sport Picks

New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA

MLS Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

Chicago Fire

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New England Revolution host Chicago Fire in the MLS. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: New England Revolution at 1.81 goals for, 1.33 against; Chicago Fire at 1.9 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, New England Revolution have won 2 to Chicago Fire's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.38) point toward New England Revolution. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

New England Revolution

15%

Draws

37%

Chicago Fire

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

New England Revolution have managed 1.81 goals a game lately — Chicago Fire are scoring more at 1.9.
42% — that's where the model lands on New England Revolution taking it.
Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%

New England Revolution Clean Sheet 17%

Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	New England Revolution	Chicago Fire
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	15	15
Draws	4	5
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.81	1.9
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.52
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 MLS

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution

1:2

Oct 18, 2025 MLS

New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire

2:2

Sep 7, 2025 MLS

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution

3:2

May 20, 2025 US Open Cup

New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire

1:3

May 5, 2024 MLS

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 41 / 100

Chicago Fire 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

New England Revolution Chicago Fire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Chicago Fire's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: New England Revolution stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution VS Chicago Fire

1.63 Goals Scored 1.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History