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New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New England Revolution play Houston Dynamo in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, New England Revolution averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Houston Dynamo averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, New England Revolution won 1, Houston Dynamo won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 31, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for New England Revolution and 1.44 for Houston Dynamo. This points to a Houston Dynamo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
New England Revolution
15%
Draws
47%
Houston Dynamo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Houston Dynamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • New England Revolution picked up more points recently compared to Houston Dynamo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 16%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution Houston Dynamo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo
2:3
Feb 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Houston Dynamo vs New England Revolution
3:3
Oct 3, 2024 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs New England Revolution
2:1
Mar 5, 2023 MLS
New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo
3:0
Sep 14, 2022 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs New England Revolution
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 37 / 100
Houston Dynamo 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution Houston Dynamo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Houston Dynamo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

New England Revolution attacking → ← attacking Houston Dynamo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Houston Dynamo let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

New England Revolution went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Houston Dynamo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 51
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25