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New England Revolution vs Inter Miami - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
New England Revolution Logo

New England Revolution

1 - 2
FT
Inter Miami Logo

Inter Miami

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Lujan G.
53' Event
Gazdag D.
Assist: Feingold I.
63'
Sub
Lujan G. In: Reguilon S.
Out: Lujan G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between New England Revolution and Inter Miami finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Miami.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
New England Revolution
15%
Draws
39%
Inter Miami
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Inter Miami's 2.4 goals per match outpaces what New England Revolution have produced (1.63).
  • New England Revolution are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inter Miami have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 10%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution Inter Miami
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.63 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs Inter Miami
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 MLS
Inter Miami vs New England Revolution
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 MLS
Inter Miami vs New England Revolution
4:1
Jul 9, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs Inter Miami
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 MLS
Inter Miami vs New England Revolution
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution Compare

Top Goalscorer Gazdag D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Inter Miami Compare

Top Goalscorer Berterame G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Messi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 40 / 100
Inter Miami 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution Inter Miami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Miami let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

New England Revolution scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Solid form: New England Revolution remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution VS Inter Miami
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New England Revolution

(Home)
02 Nov
New England Revolution
1 : 2
Inter Miami
28 Oct
New England Revolution
3 : 2
New York Red Bulls
24 Oct
Philadelphia Union
1 : 2
New England Revolution
17 Oct
New England Revolution
1 : 0
Chicago Fire
14 Oct
FC Cincinnati
2 : 3
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

Inter Miami

(Away)
02 Nov
New England Revolution
1 : 2
Inter Miami
28 Oct
Inter Miami
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
24 Oct
New York Red Bulls
2 : 0
Inter Miami
17 Oct
Atlanta United
1 : 3
Inter Miami
14 Oct
Inter Miami
2 : 0
New York City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 33 18 7 8 72:34 61
2 FC Dallas 33 15 10 8 59:50 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes 33 14 10 9 56:48 52
4 St. Louis City 33 14 9 10 58:48 51
5 Houston Dynamo 33 14 9 10 43:42 51
6 Los Angeles FC 33 12 11 10 51:38 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy 33 11 11 11 49:55 44
8 Portland Timbers 33 12 7 14 60:61 43
9 Colorado Rapids 33 12 7 14 46:47 43
10 Seattle Sounders 33 11 10 12 42:45 43
11 Real Salt Lake 33 12 6 15 51:51 42
12 Minnesota United 33 10 11 12 53:57 41
13 San Diego FC 33 9 11 13 57:62 38
14 Austin FC 33 8 10 15 42:63 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 33 6 5 22 39:81 23
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 33 22 8 3 69:25 74
2 Inter Miami 33 16 11 6 77:56 59
3 New England Revolution 33 18 4 11 55:46 58
4 Chicago Fire 33 16 7 10 61:50 55
5 Charlotte FC 33 15 8 10 63:48 53
6 Philadelphia Union 33 13 8 12 62:51 47
7 FC Cincinnati 33 12 10 11 67:73 46
8 Columbus Crew 33 13 5 15 55:49 44
9 Orlando City 33 12 7 14 62:78 43
10 New York Red Bulls 33 11 6 16 45:62 39
11 New York City 33 9 12 12 48:45 39
12 Toronto FC 33 9 12 12 51:63 39
13 Atlanta United 33 9 6 18 43:57 33
14 DC United 33 7 12 14 39:60 33
15 CF Montreal 33 6 8 19 37:67 26
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)