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New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
New England Revolution Logo

New England Revolution

Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
New York Red Bulls Logo

New York Red Bulls

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New England Revolution host New York Red Bulls in the MLS. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: New England Revolution at 1.59 goals for, 1.37 against; New York Red Bulls at 1.38 for, 1.93 against. Head-to-head, New England Revolution have won 2 to New York Red Bulls's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.38, favoring New England Revolution. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
New England Revolution
15%
Draws
34%
New York Red Bulls
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New England Revolution lately — more wins on the board than New York Red Bulls.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on New England Revolution taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 17%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution New York Red Bulls
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution
1:0
Jul 16, 2025 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution
5:3
Mar 29, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 MLS
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls
1:0
May 11, 2024 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 36 / 100
New York Red Bulls 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution New York Red Bulls

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

New England Revolution's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

New England Revolution went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution VS New York Red Bulls
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

New England Revolution

(Home)
17 Oct
New England Revolution
1 : 0
Chicago Fire
14 Oct
FC Cincinnati
2 : 3
New England Revolution
10 Oct
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Seattle Sounders
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
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New York Red Bulls

(Away)
17 Oct
New York Red Bulls
0 : 2
Toronto FC
14 Oct
DC United
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls
10 Oct
New York Red Bulls
4 : 1
San Diego FC
30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3
St. Louis City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 30 16 7 7 63:31 55
2 St. Louis City 30 14 9 7 56:41 51
3 FC Dallas 30 14 9 7 55:47 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes 30 13 9 8 52:42 48
5 Houston Dynamo 30 13 8 9 41:39 47
6 Los Angeles FC 31 12 10 9 48:33 46
7 Seattle Sounders 30 11 9 10 39:37 42
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 31 10 10 11 43:52 40
9 Colorado Rapids 30 11 6 13 41:41 39
10 Real Salt Lake 30 10 6 14 45:48 36
11 Portland Timbers 30 9 7 14 51:56 34
12 San Diego FC 30 8 10 12 53:56 34
13 Minnesota United 30 8 10 12 47:55 34
14 Austin FC 30 7 10 13 38:56 31
15 Sporting Kansas City 30 6 4 20 36:75 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 30 20 7 3 64:23 67
2 Inter Miami 30 15 10 5 73:51 55
3 New England Revolution 30 16 4 10 49:41 52
4 Chicago Fire 30 14 6 10 52:44 48
5 Charlotte FC 30 13 8 9 53:45 47
6 Philadelphia Union 30 13 7 10 61:48 46
7 Orlando City 30 12 5 13 58:70 41
8 New York Red Bulls 30 10 6 14 39:56 36
9 FC Cincinnati 29 9 9 11 60:70 36
10 Toronto FC 30 8 12 10 46:55 36
11 Columbus Crew 30 10 5 15 46:47 35
12 New York City 30 8 10 12 43:41 34
13 DC United 29 7 12 10 37:51 33
14 Atlanta United 30 8 6 16 37:51 30
15 CF Montreal 30 6 7 17 36:60 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)