Sport Picks

USA

MLS Gillette Stadium

Philadelphia Union

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New England Revolution play Philadelphia Union in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, New England Revolution averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Philadelphia Union averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, New England Revolution won 1, Philadelphia Union won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for New England Revolution and 1.31 for Philadelphia Union. This points to a New England Revolution double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

New England Revolution

15%

Draws

39%

Philadelphia Union

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

New England Revolution picked up more points recently compared to Philadelphia Union.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

New England Revolution Clean Sheet 18%

Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	New England Revolution	Philadelphia Union
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	13	10
Draws	4	6
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	1.86	1.74
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.42
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 MLS

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Sep 20, 2025 MLS

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Mar 9, 2025 MLS

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Jul 17, 2024 MLS

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

5:1

May 18, 2024 MLS

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution Compare

Top Goalscorer Langoni L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gil C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Philadelphia Union Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 45 / 100

Philadelphia Union 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

New England Revolution Philadelphia Union

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: New England Revolution or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

New England Revolution attacking → ← attacking Philadelphia Union

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Philadelphia Union let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

New England Revolution went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Philadelphia Union lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 36

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	14	10	2	2	34:12	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	15	10	2	3	34:15	32
3	Real Salt Lake	14	8	2	4	26:19	26
4	FC Dallas	15	7	4	4	30:22	25
5	Los Angeles FC	15	7	3	5	24:17	24
6	Seattle Sounders	13	7	3	3	17:11	24
7	Houston Dynamo	14	7	1	6	19:23	22
8	Minnesota United	15	6	4	5	18:22	22
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	5	5	5	22:22	20
10	San Diego FC	15	4	5	6	30:27	17
11	Colorado Rapids	15	5	1	9	25:24	16
12	St. Louis City	14	4	4	6	16:20	16
13	Portland Timbers	14	4	2	8	22:28	14
14	Austin FC	15	3	5	7	19:31	14
15	Sporting Kansas City	14	3	2	9	14:36	11

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	10	3	1	31:11	33
2	Inter Miami	15	9	4	2	39:28	31
3	Chicago Fire	14	8	2	4	27:16	26
4	New England Revolution	14	8	1	5	22:18	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	6	4	5	25:32	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	6	3	6	24:23	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	5	5	5	36:37	20
8	New York City	15	5	4	6	25:21	19
9	DC United	15	4	6	5	21:25	18
10	Columbus Crew	15	4	4	7	21:23	16
11	CF Montreal	14	4	2	8	22:31	14
12	Orlando City	15	4	2	9	23:44	14
13	Toronto FC	14	3	5	6	22:29	14
14	Atlanta United	14	3	2	9	14:23	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	1	4	10	18:30	7