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New Friends vs Baghpat

India India

I-League 3
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Thapa A.
14' Event
Singh N.
16' Event
Brahma J.

AI Match Summary

Baghpat in this I-League 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baghpat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
New Friends
15%
Draws
24%
Baghpat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Friends

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Baghpat have won more games recently than New Friends.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
New Friends Clean Sheet 10%
Baghpat Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Friends Baghpat
Matches Played 4 12
Wins 2 6
Draws 0 2
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 3 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 I-League 3
New Friends vs Baghpat
0:9

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Friends Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Baghpat Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Meitei H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Friends 29 / 100
Baghpat 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Friends Baghpat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Friends Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Baghpat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 12 matches.

Baghpat lost 4 of their last 5 games.

New Friends found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (4 games).

Scoring Trends

New Friends VS Baghpat
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

New Friends

(Home)
05 May
New Friends
0 : 9
Baghpat
03 May
Agniputhra
2 : 0
New Friends
01 May
New Friends
2 : 0
Techtro Swades
29 Apr
New Friends
3 : 1
Royal Rangers

Baghpat

(Away)
05 Aug
Army Red
4 : 0
Baghpat
30 Jul
Samaleswari SC
4 : 1
Baghpat
27 Jul
Mohammedan
4 : 0
Baghpat
24 May
Sunrise Club
1 : 0
Baghpat
22 May
Baghpat
4 : 2
Chhaygaon
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sunrise Club 4 3 0 1 10:5 9
2 Raengdai 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Mawlai SC 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
4 Ara 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
5 Sikkim Brotherhood 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TRAU FC 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Samaleswari SC 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
3 Zinc FA 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
4 CD Salgaocar 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
5 Mumbay FC 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KLASA 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Chhaygaon 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Diamond Rock 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Citadel Godavari Legends 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
5 Kuppuraj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baghpat 4 3 1 0 15:3 10
2 Agniputhra 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 New Friends 4 2 0 2 5:12 6
4 Royal Rangers 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
5 Techtro Swades 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams