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New Friends vs Baghpat

India India

I-League 3
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Thapa A.
14' Event
Singh N.
16' Event
Brahma J.

AI Match Summary

Baghpat in this I-League 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baghpat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
New Friends
6%
Draws
90%
Baghpat
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baghpat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Baghpat have won more games recently than New Friends.
  • Baghpat are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
New Friends Clean Sheet 10%
Baghpat Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Friends Baghpat
Matches Played 4 9
Wins 2 6
Draws 0 2
Losses 2 1
Goals Scored 1.25 2.88
Goals Conceded 3 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 I-League 3
New Friends vs Baghpat
0:9

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Friends Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Baghpat Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Meitei H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Friends 10 / 100
Baghpat 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Friends Baghpat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

New Friends's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Baghpat let in goals in 56% of their last 9 matches.

Solid form: New Friends remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Friends VS Baghpat
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

New Friends

(Home)
05 May
New Friends
0 : 9
Baghpat
03 May
Agniputhra
2 : 0
New Friends
01 May
New Friends
2 : 0
Techtro Swades
29 Apr
New Friends
3 : 1
Royal Rangers

Baghpat

(Away)
24 May
Sunrise Club
1 : 0
Baghpat
22 May
Baghpat
4 : 2
Chhaygaon
20 May
Baghpat
3 : 1
Raengdai
18 May
TRAU FC
0 : 1
Baghpat
16 May
KLASA
0 : 0
Baghpat
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sunrise Club430110:59
2Raengdai42116:37
3Mawlai SC41216:65
4Ara41126:94
5Sikkim Brotherhood41036:113
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1TRAU FC43107:310
2Samaleswari SC42026:56
3Zinc FA41217:65
4CD Salgaocar41122:44
5Mumbay FC40225:92
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KLASA33005:19
2Chhaygaon32016:16
3Diamond Rock31023:63
4Citadel Godavari Legends30030:60
5Kuppuraj00000:00
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Baghpat431015:310
2Agniputhra42115:27
3New Friends42025:126
4Royal Rangers42027:76
5Techtro Swades40042:100
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams