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New Jack vs Etoile de Kivu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Jack host Etoile de Kivu in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Etoile de Kivu have shipped 1.35 goals a game lately, while New Jack have conceded 1.11 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Etoile de Kivu slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.63) back Etoile de Kivu to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
New Jack
30%
Draws
42%
Etoile de Kivu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Etoile de Kivu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • New Jack haven't matched Etoile de Kivu's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Etoile de Kivu's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
New Jack Clean Sheet 14%
Etoile de Kivu Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Jack Etoile de Kivu
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 6 10
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs New Jack
0:1
Nov 24, 2025 Ligue 1
New Jack vs Etoile de Kivu
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 1
New Jack vs Etoile de Kivu
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs New Jack
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Jack 27 / 100
Etoile de Kivu 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Jack Etoile de Kivu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etoile de Kivu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile de Kivu has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

New Jack went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

New Jack's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

New Jack VS Etoile de Kivu
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Jack

(Home)
18 Apr
Anges Verts
0 : 0
New Jack
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
01 Apr
New Jack
1 : 2
AS Vita Club
27 Mar
New Jack
2 : 2
OC Renaissance
08 Mar
New Jack
1 : 0
Aigles du Congo
Page 1 of 6

Etoile de Kivu

(Away)
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5
Motema Pembe
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3
Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1
Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0
Etoile de Kivu
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0
OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 St Eloi Lupopo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Don Bosco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Saint-Luc 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sanga Balende 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Lubumbashi Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 New Soger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Simba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Blessing 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Tanganyika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Malole 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Manika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Butras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Vita Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 AS Maniema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dauphins Noirs 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 FC MK Etancheite 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 AC Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Etoile de Kivu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Aigles du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Celeste 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Anges Verts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 New Jack 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 FC Renaissance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Novakin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Etoile du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)