Sport Picks
New Lambton vs Cessnock City Hornets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
Northern NSW State League Alder Park, Newcastle 
AI Match Summary
New Lambton in this Northern NSW State League matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Lambton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Lambton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- New Lambton have won more games recently than Cessnock City Hornets.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and New Lambton have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
New Lambton Clean Sheet 10%
Cessnock City Hornets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Lambton | Cessnock City Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Northern NSW State League
New Lambton vs Cessnock City Hornets
4:3
May 23, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Cessnock City Hornets vs New Lambton
2:3
Aug 21, 2022 Northern NSW State League
New Lambton vs Cessnock City Hornets
2:0
May 28, 2022 Northern NSW State League
Cessnock City Hornets vs New Lambton
0:5
Aug 8, 2021 Northern NSW State League
Cessnock City Hornets vs New Lambton
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New Lambton 30 / 100
Cessnock City Hornets 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New Lambton Cessnock City Hornets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cessnock City Hornets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cessnock City Hornets has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
New Lambton's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Away concern: Cessnock City Hornets has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
New Lambton VS Cessnock City Hornets
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
New Lambton
(Home) 29 Aug
Kahibah
3 : 0 New Lambton
22 Aug
New Lambton
1 : 2 Kahibah
15 Aug
New Lambton
4 : 3 Cessnock City Hornets
08 Aug
Dudley Redhead United
1 : 0 New Lambton
01 Aug
West Wallsend FC
0 : 2 New Lambton
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
New Lambton
1 : 2 Kahibah
15 Aug
New Lambton
4 : 3 Cessnock City Hornets
25 Jul
New Lambton
1 : 5 Lake Macquarie
21 Jul
New Lambton
5 : 2 Toronto Awaba Stags
20 Jun
New Lambton
1 : 4 Newcastle Croatia
Page 1 of 3
Cessnock City Hornets
(Away) 15 Aug
New Lambton
4 : 3 Cessnock City Hornets
08 Aug
Cessnock City Hornets
1 : 2 Newcastle Croatia
26 Jul
Wallsend Red Devils
7 : 3 Cessnock City Hornets
18 Jul
Cessnock City Hornets
3 : 2 West Wallsend FC
11 Jul
Cessnock City Hornets
2 : 1 Dudley Redhead United
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15 Aug
New Lambton
4 : 3 Cessnock City Hornets
26 Jul
Wallsend Red Devils
7 : 3 Cessnock City Hornets
27 Jun
Toronto Awaba Stags
0 : 2 Cessnock City Hornets
20 Jun
Lake Macquarie
5 : 0 Cessnock City Hornets
09 Jun
Singleton Strikers
5 : 1 Cessnock City Hornets
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Macquarie | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 64:24 | 41 |
| 2 | Wallsend Red Devils | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 58:26 | 40 |
| 3 | Newcastle Croatia | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 45:37 | 33 |
| 4 | New Lambton | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 41:30 | 32 |
| 5 | Dudley Redhead United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Cessnock City Hornets | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 31:40 | 20 |
| 7 | West Wallsend FC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 27:47 | 19 |
| 8 | Singleton Strikers | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:42 | 18 |
| 9 | South Cardiff | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15:32 | 13 |
| 10 | Toronto Awaba Stags | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 23:46 | 13 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
