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New Lambton vs Dudley Redhead United

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League Alder Park
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AI Match Summary

New Lambton play Dudley Redhead United in the Northern NSW State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, New Lambton averaged 1.45 goals scored and 2 conceded. Dudley Redhead United averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, New Lambton won 1, Dudley Redhead United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for New Lambton and 1.44 for Dudley Redhead United. This points to a New Lambton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
New Lambton
17%
Draws
41%
Dudley Redhead United
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: New Lambton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • New Lambton picked up more points recently compared to Dudley Redhead United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
New Lambton Clean Sheet 16%
Dudley Redhead United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Lambton Dudley Redhead United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.45
Goals Conceded 2 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Northern NSW State League
New Lambton vs Dudley Redhead United
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Lambton 41 / 100
Dudley Redhead United 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Lambton Dudley Redhead United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: New Lambton or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

New Lambton attacking → ← attacking Dudley Redhead United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Lambton scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Dudley Redhead United let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

New Lambton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dudley Redhead United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 40
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wallsend Red Devils1393137:1730
2Lake Macquarie1391348:1928
3New Lambton1372429:1923
4Newcastle Croatia1370632:3121
5Dudley Redhead United1363420:2021
6West Wallsend FC1353524:3218
7Cessnock City Hornets1342719:2414
8Singleton Strikers1333714:3012
9South Cardiff1331911:2410
10Toronto Awaba Stags13301016:349