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New Lambton vs Dudley Redhead United

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League Alder Park, Newcastle
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Lambton in this Northern NSW State League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Lambton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
New Lambton
15%
Draws
46%
Dudley Redhead United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dudley Redhead United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dudley Redhead United have won more games recently than New Lambton.
  • Win probability leans New Lambton's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Northern NSW State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
New Lambton Clean Sheet 16%
Dudley Redhead United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Lambton Dudley Redhead United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.6 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Dudley Redhead United vs New Lambton
1:0
May 16, 2026 Northern NSW State League
New Lambton vs Dudley Redhead United
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Lambton 36 / 100
Dudley Redhead United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Lambton Dudley Redhead United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Lambton scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Dudley Redhead United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

New Lambton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Lambton VS Dudley Redhead United
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

New Lambton

(Home)
29 Aug
Kahibah
3 : 0
New Lambton
22 Aug
New Lambton
1 : 2
Kahibah
15 Aug
New Lambton
4 : 3
Cessnock City Hornets
08 Aug
Dudley Redhead United
1 : 0
New Lambton
01 Aug
West Wallsend FC
0 : 2
New Lambton
Page 1 of 6

Dudley Redhead United

(Away)
15 Aug
Singleton Strikers
2 : 4
Dudley Redhead United
08 Aug
Dudley Redhead United
1 : 0
New Lambton
02 Aug
Dudley Redhead United
0 : 2
Newcastle Croatia
26 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 0
Dudley Redhead United
11 Jul
Cessnock City Hornets
2 : 1
Dudley Redhead United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lake Macquarie 18 13 2 3 64:24 41
2 Wallsend Red Devils 18 12 4 2 58:26 40
3 Newcastle Croatia 18 11 0 7 45:37 33
4 New Lambton 18 10 2 6 41:30 32
5 Dudley Redhead United 18 8 4 6 26:26 28
6 Cessnock City Hornets 18 6 2 10 31:40 20
7 West Wallsend FC 18 5 4 9 27:47 19
8 Singleton Strikers 18 5 3 10 20:42 18
9 South Cardiff 18 3 4 11 15:32 13
10 Toronto Awaba Stags 18 4 1 13 23:46 13
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)