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New Mexico vs Colorado Springs

USA USA

USL Championship Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, NM
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
01:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Mexico host Colorado Springs in the USL Championship. This one's hard to separate. Colorado Springs have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while New Mexico have conceded 0.75 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, New Mexico have won 3 to Colorado Springs's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.13) back New Mexico to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
New Mexico
20%
Draws
38%
Colorado Springs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: New Mexico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colorado Springs lately — more wins on the board than New Mexico.
  • Win probability leans New Mexico's way, sitting at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 20%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Mexico Colorado Springs
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 USL Cup
Colorado Springs vs New Mexico
4:0
Mar 28, 2026 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Colorado Springs
3:2
Sep 25, 2025 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs New Mexico
1:2
Jun 29, 2025 USL Cup
New Mexico vs Colorado Springs
3:2
Jun 8, 2025 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Colorado Springs
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Mexico 42 / 100
Colorado Springs 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Mexico Colorado Springs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

New Mexico went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

New Mexico's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Colorado Springs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

New Mexico VS Colorado Springs
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

New Mexico

(Home)
15 Jul
Lexington
1 : 4
New Mexico
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2
New Mexico
05 Jul
New Mexico
2 : 1
Oakland Roots
02 Jul
New Mexico
3 : 3
Atlante
21 Jun
Sacramento Republic
0 : 1
New Mexico
Page 1 of 6

Colorado Springs

(Away)
23 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 0
Miami FC
12 Jul
Orange County SC
0 : 3
Colorado Springs
05 Jul
Colorado Springs
3 : 1
Phoenix Rising
25 Jun
Colorado Springs
1 : 2
San Antonio FC
21 Jun
FC Tulsa
1 : 2
Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1695225:1332
2Charleston1683531:2227
3Detroit City1583423:1427
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1572619:1823
6Indy Eleven1463518:1621
7Miami FC1756620:2621
8Rhode Island1454524:1819
9Hartford Athletic1547412:1419
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1534817:2613
12Loudoun United1519518:2912
13Sporting Jax17151123:448
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1667321:1925
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4Colorado Springs1564526:2222
5FC Tulsa1464418:1622
6Lexington1563624:2021
7Oakland Roots1656524:2421
8Sacramento Republic1455416:1420
9Phoenix Rising1655623:2420
10El Paso Locomotive1554625:2519
11Las Vegas Lights1553723:2618
12Monterey Bay1643916:2515
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)