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Stadium Background

New Mexico vs El Paso Locomotive

USA USA

USL Championship Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rubin R.
Assist: Mendez A.
14' Event
Hurst G.
Assist: LaCava J.
24' Event
Hurst G.
Assist: Jabang O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
New Mexico
11%
Draws
9%
El Paso Locomotive
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: New Mexico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • New Mexico have won more games recently than El Paso Locomotive.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on New Mexico taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 20%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Mexico El Paso Locomotive
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 USL Cup
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico
0:2
May 7, 2026 USL Championship
New Mexico vs El Paso Locomotive
2:2
Apr 2, 2026 US Open Cup
New Mexico vs El Paso Locomotive
0:4
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico
4:1
May 4, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Mexico Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurst G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

El Paso Locomotive Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubin R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abitia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Mexico 76 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Mexico El Paso Locomotive

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: New Mexico remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

New Mexico scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

El Paso Locomotive let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

New Mexico VS El Paso Locomotive
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1263318:1221
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds1362515:1520
7Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
8Miami FC1546518:2418
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax15041119:414
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1363415:1421
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1353521:1618
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215