Sport Picks
New Mexico vs FC Tulsa Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL Championship Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, NM 
Match Events
26'
26'
Dorsey L.
60'
60'
Sub
Ian In: Clarke A.
Out: Ian
60'
60'
Sub
Ordonez A. In: Colli G.
Out: Ordonez A.
AI Match Summary
New Mexico in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Mexico.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
35%
43%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Tulsa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- New Mexico haven't matched FC Tulsa's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and FC Tulsa have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 16%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Mexico | FC Tulsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2026 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs New Mexico
1:0
Aug 16, 2026 USL Championship
New Mexico vs FC Tulsa
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs New Mexico
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 USL Championship
New Mexico vs FC Tulsa
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs New Mexico
5:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New Mexico 31 / 100
FC Tulsa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New Mexico FC Tulsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: New Mexico scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
New Mexico went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
FC Tulsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
New Mexico VS FC Tulsa
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
New Mexico
(Home) 01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3 Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3 Sacramento Republic
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
30 Aug
New Mexico
1 : 2 San Antonio FC
27 Aug
New Mexico
2 : 1 Lexington
16 Aug
New Mexico
1 : 0 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 4
FC Tulsa
(Away) 01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
19 Sept
Brooklyn FC
2 : 2 FC Tulsa
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 FC Tulsa
06 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
19 Sept
Brooklyn FC
2 : 2 FC Tulsa
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 FC Tulsa
06 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
23 Aug
Orange County SC
1 : 5 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 45:23 | 52 |
| 2 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32:20 | 44 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32:32 | 33 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:44 | 33 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36:42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 31:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26:52 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 45:32 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 39:31 | 43 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 36:24 | 43 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 31:24 | 41 |
| 5 | Lexington | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 46:32 | 40 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 40:37 | 39 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 35:40 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29:28 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:38 | 33 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 35:38 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27:46 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
