Sport Picks
New Mexico vs Indy Eleven
USA
USL Championship Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, NM 
Match Events
16'
16'
Archimede L.
18'
18'
Hurst G.
Assist: Archimede L.
45'
45'
Hafferty J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to New Mexico lately — more wins on the board than Indy Eleven.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors New Mexico here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 20%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Mexico | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Indy Eleven
2:2
Aug 11, 2024 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs New Mexico
1:3
Sep 16, 2023 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Indy Eleven
3:2
May 28, 2022 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs New Mexico
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New Mexico Compare
Top Goalscorer Archimede L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hurst G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Indy Eleven Compare
Top Goalscorer Henry-Scott M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Blake J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New Mexico 31 / 100
Indy Eleven 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New Mexico Indy Eleven
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick New Mexico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
New Mexico's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Indy Eleven let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
New Mexico went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
New Mexico VS Indy Eleven
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
New Mexico
(Home) 17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 New Mexico
30 Aug
New Mexico
1 : 2 San Antonio FC
27 Aug
New Mexico
2 : 1 Lexington
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
30 Aug
New Mexico
1 : 2 San Antonio FC
27 Aug
New Mexico
2 : 1 Lexington
16 Aug
New Mexico
1 : 0 FC Tulsa
02 Aug
New Mexico
1 : 0 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 4
Indy Eleven
(Away) 15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
22 Aug
Indy Eleven
2 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
01 Aug
San Antonio FC
3 : 1 Indy Eleven
18 Jul
Detroit City
2 : 0 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 41:23 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 49:31 | 40 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 28:25 | 38 |
| 4 | Detroit City | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 28:19 | 37 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 26:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 32:28 | 33 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:24 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 28:42 | 24 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 32:38 | 20 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 26:40 | 20 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 23:43 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:65 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 41:30 | 43 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 37:27 | 42 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:37 | 37 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 27:21 | 36 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 30:20 | 36 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29:28 | 36 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 34:34 | 36 |
| 8 | Lexington | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 37:30 | 34 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:32 | 33 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31:34 | 32 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 29:35 | 27 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25:42 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
