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New Mexico vs Lubbock Matadors Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

US Open Cup 2024 Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, NM
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Swartz H.
Assist: Bruce D.
59' Event
Bruce D.
Assist: Reyes J.
62'
Sub
Appiah-Kubi D. In: Zyan Andrade
Out: Appiah-Kubi D.

AI Match Summary

New Mexico in this US Open Cup 2024 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
New Mexico
35%
Draws
16%
Lubbock Matadors
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: New Mexico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New Mexico lately — more wins on the board than Lubbock Matadors.
  • Win probability leans New Mexico's way, sitting at 40%.
  • New Mexico have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor New Mexico, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 20%
Lubbock Matadors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Mexico Lubbock Matadors
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 15 5
Draws 8 2
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2024 US Open Cup
New Mexico vs Lubbock Matadors
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Mexico Compare

Top Goalscorer Swartz H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruce D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Lubbock Matadors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Mexico 40 / 100
Lubbock Matadors 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Mexico Lubbock Matadors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Mexico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

New Mexico's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lubbock Matadors let in goals in 67% of their last 15 matches.

Recent resilience: New Mexico stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Mexico VS Lubbock Matadors
2.25 Goals Scored 0.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

New Mexico

(Home)
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
New Mexico
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3
Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4
New Mexico
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2
Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 6

Lubbock Matadors

(Away)
12 Jul
Lubbock Matadors
0 : 2
West Texas
09 Jul
West Texas
1 : 0
Lubbock Matadors
28 Jun
Lubbock Matadors
1 : 2
Texoma FC
25 Jun
Lubbock Matadors
1 : 1
McKinney Chupacabras
21 Jun
Denton Diablos
2 : 1
Lubbock Matadors
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Western Pioneers 0
Union Omaha 4
Capo 2
Menace 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
El Paso Locomotive -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tulsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Rapids 2 3
Azteca 0
Tulsa Athletic 1
Northern Colorado 4
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birmingham Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apotheos 1
Georgia Lions 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves 4
Brockton United 2
FC Dallas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Memphis 901 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chattanooga 0
Miami United 1
Frenzi 2
Club de Lyon 3
Charleston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Miami FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
South Georgia Tormenta 1
America CFL Spurs 0
Brave SC 0
Savannah Clovers 2
Atlanta United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vereinigung Erzgebirge 0
Charlotte Independence 2
Crown Legacy 0
South Carolina United Heat 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire II 6
Chicago City 0
Forward Madison 2
Duluth FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Detroit City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago House 0
Minnesota United 2 3
Steel City 0
Michigan Stars 1
Sacramento Republic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monterey Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventura County 2
Irvine Zeta 2 1
Irvine Zeta 1
MesoAmerica 0
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oakland Roots -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland Timbers 2 1
El Farolito 2
Folsom 1
Central Valley Fuego 2
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Louisville City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 0
One Knoxville 2
South Carolina United Bantams 0
Greenville Triumph 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vermont Green 4
Lexington 3
Carolina Core 3
Northern Virginia 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Rising -
Las Vegas Lights -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballard 0
Spokane Velocity 1
LA Force 2
Redlands United FC 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Orange County SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Richmond Kickers 1
Christos 0
West Chester United 0
Maryland Bobcats 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loudoun United -
Hartford Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Motown 0
New York City II 3
New York Red Bulls II 5
Hudson Valley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Springs -
New Mexico -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lubbock Matadors 2
Arizona Monsoon 1
Austin FC II 2
Foro 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
1/64-finals
Union Omaha 3
Menace 1
TBD -
El Paso Locomotive -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tulsa -
TBD -
Colorado Rapids 2 2
Northern Colorado 3
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birmingham Legion -
TBD -
Apotheos 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves 1
FC Dallas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Memphis 901 -
TBD -
Miami United 2
Club de Lyon 0
Charleston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Miami FC -
TBD -
South Georgia Tormenta 4
Savannah Clovers 0
Atlanta United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 1
South Carolina United Heat 0
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire II 2
Forward Madison 0
TBD -
Indy Eleven -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Detroit City -
TBD -
Minnesota United 2 0
Michigan Stars 2
Sacramento Republic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monterey Bay -
TBD -
Ventura County 0
Irvine Zeta 3
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oakland Roots -
TBD -
El Farolito 2
Central Valley Fuego 1
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Louisville City -
TBD -
One Knoxville 2
Greenville Triumph 3
TBD -
TBD -
Vermont Green 1
Carolina Core 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Rising -
Las Vegas Lights -
TBD -
Spokane Velocity 1
LA Force 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Orange County SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Richmond Kickers 5
Maryland Bobcats 2
TBD -
Loudoun United -
Hartford Athletic -
TBD -
New York City II 4
New York Red Bulls II 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Springs -
New Mexico -
TBD -
Lubbock Matadors 2
Foro 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
1/32-finals
Union Omaha 1
El Paso Locomotive 0
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
FC Tulsa 2
Northern Colorado 1
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
Birmingham Legion 4
Chattanooga Red Wolves 2
FC Dallas -
TBD -
Memphis 901 2
Miami United 0
Charleston -
TBD -
Miami FC 2
South Georgia Tormenta 4
Atlanta United -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 5
Rhode Island 4
Chicago Fire II 0
Indy Eleven 1
TBD -
San Antonio FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
Detroit City 1
Michigan Stars 0
Sacramento Republic -
TBD -
Monterey Bay 2
Irvine Zeta 1
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Oakland Roots 2
El Farolito 1
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
Louisville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
North Carolina FC 1
Carolina Core 0
TBD -
Phoenix Rising -
Las Vegas Lights 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Orange County SC -
TBD -
Richmond Kickers 0
Loudoun United 1
Hartford Athletic 2
New York City II 3
TBD -
Colorado Springs -
New Mexico 3
Lubbock Matadors 1
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
1/16-finals
Union Omaha 1
Sporting Kansas City 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0
FC Tulsa 1
Tampa Bay 6
Birmingham Legion 4
FC Dallas 1
Memphis 901 0
Charleston 3
South Georgia Tormenta 2
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte Independence 0
Indy Eleven 2
San Antonio FC 0
Houston Dynamo 3
Detroit City 4
Sacramento Republic 2
Monterey Bay 0
San Jose Earthquakes 1
Oakland Roots 0
Seattle Sounders 3
Louisville City 2
North Carolina FC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
Las Vegas Lights 1
Los Angeles FC 3
Orange County SC 1
Loudoun United 2
New York City II 1
Colorado Springs 0
New Mexico 4
Real Salt Lake 2
1/8-finals
Sporting Kansas City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Tampa Bay 1
FC Dallas 2
Charleston 0
Atlanta United 1
Indy Eleven 3
Detroit City 0
Sacramento Republic 4
San Jose Earthquakes 3
Seattle Sounders 2
Phoenix Rising 1
Los Angeles FC 3
Loudoun United 0
New York City II 0
New Mexico 3
Quarter-finals
Sporting Kansas City 2
FC Dallas 1
Atlanta United 1
Indy Eleven 2
Sacramento Republic 1
Seattle Sounders 2
Los Angeles FC 3
New Mexico 1
Semi-finals
Sporting Kansas City 2
Indy Eleven 0
Seattle Sounders 0
Los Angeles FC 1
Final
Sporting Kansas City 1
Los Angeles FC 3