Sport Picks
New Mexico vs San Antonio FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, NM 
Match Events
7'
7'
Keller K.
Own Goal
13'
13'
Patino S.
17'
17'
Hernandez N.
AI Match Summary
San Antonio FC in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Antonio FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: New Mexico
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- New Mexico have won more games recently than San Antonio FC.
- New Mexico are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 20%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Mexico | San Antonio FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 USL Championship
New Mexico vs San Antonio FC
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs New Mexico
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 USL Championship
New Mexico vs San Antonio FC
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs New Mexico
0:1
Jul 27, 2025 USL Cup
San Antonio FC vs New Mexico
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New Mexico Compare
Top Goalscorer Harris D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
San Antonio FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New Mexico 85 / 100
San Antonio FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New Mexico San Antonio FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick New Mexico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: New Mexico scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
San Antonio FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: New Mexico stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
New Mexico VS San Antonio FC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
New Mexico
(Home) 04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3 Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3 Sacramento Republic
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
30 Aug
New Mexico
1 : 2 San Antonio FC
27 Aug
New Mexico
2 : 1 Lexington
Page 1 of 4
San Antonio FC
(Away) 04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0 San Antonio FC
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7 Darmstadt
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0 San Antonio FC
12 Sept
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0 San Antonio FC
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0 San Antonio FC
12 Sept
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 San Antonio FC
30 Aug
New Mexico
1 : 2 San Antonio FC
09 Aug
Louisville City
1 : 1 San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
