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New Star Ducos vs Club Colonial Prediction & H2H Stats

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2018/2019 game between New Star Ducos and Club Colonial finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Star Ducos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
New Star Ducos
35%
Draws
32%
Club Colonial
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Club Colonial carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Club Colonial here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
New Star Ducos Clean Sheet 11%
Club Colonial Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Star Ducos Club Colonial
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 18
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.7 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Star Ducos vs Club Colonial
0:0
Jan 29, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs New Star Ducos
3:0
Feb 27, 2021 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Star Ducos vs Club Colonial
0:2
Oct 10, 2020 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs New Star Ducos
4:1
Nov 3, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs New Star Ducos
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Star Ducos 29 / 100
Club Colonial 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Star Ducos Club Colonial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Star Ducos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Club Colonial conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

New Star Ducos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Club Colonial lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Club Colonial
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New Star Ducos

(Home)
21 May
Essor-Prechotain
1 : 0
New Star Ducos
14 May
New Star Ducos
1 : 1
US Riveraine
07 May
New Star Ducos
0 : 0
Club Colonial
30 Apr
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 1
New Star Ducos
23 Apr
New Star Ducos
1 : 1
Aiglon Lamentin
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Club Colonial

(Away)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Club Colonial
0 : 2
Inter de Sainte-Anne
06 Jun
Golden Star
3 : 2
Club Colonial
30 May
Club Colonial
0 : 2
Inter de Sainte-Anne
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
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