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New Star vs Maligawatte Youth Prediction & H2H Stats

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Jasim M.
41' Event
Shafran M.
54' Event
Suhaib M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025 game between New Star and Maligawatte Youth finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maligawatte Youth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
New Star
15%
Draws
42%
Maligawatte Youth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • New Star's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what Maligawatte Youth have produced (1.25).
  • Win probability leans Maligawatte Youth's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
New Star Clean Sheet 10%
Maligawatte Youth Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Star Maligawatte Youth
Matches Played 3 4
Wins 1 1
Draws 0 1
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 1.33 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.67 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 Super League
New Star vs Maligawatte Youth
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Jasim M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Maligawatte Youth Compare

Top Goalscorer Shafran M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Suhaib M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Star 22 / 100
Maligawatte Youth 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Star Maligawatte Youth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maligawatte Youth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: New Star scored in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Maligawatte Youth let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: New Star stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Star VS Maligawatte Youth
1.33 Goals Scored 1.25
2.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New Star

(Home)
06 Jul
New Star
1 : 4
Saunders
29 Jun
New Star
1 : 4
Maligawatte Youth
14 Jun
New Star
2 : 0
Blue Star

Maligawatte Youth

(Away)
13 Jul
Renown
:
Maligawatte Youth
05 Jul
Maligawatte Youth
1 : 1
Blue Star
29 Jun
New Star
1 : 4
Maligawatte Youth
15 Jun
Saunders
1 : 0
Maligawatte Youth

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saunders 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Maligawatte Youth 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 New Star 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Blue Star 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - Super League 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Renown 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
2 Java Lane 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Red Star 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 Moragasmulla 3 0 0 3 4:14 0
Promotion - Super League 2025 (Play Offs)