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New Star vs Saunders

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
20' Event
55' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Saunders in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saunders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
New Star
6%
Draws
90%
Saunders
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saunders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Star haven't matched Saunders's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Saunders's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
New Star Clean Sheet 11%
Saunders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Star Saunders
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 1 11
Draws 0 4
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 1.33 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.67 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2025 Super League
New Star vs Saunders
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Star 10 / 100
Saunders 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Star Saunders

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Star's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 3 recent games.

Defensive concern: Saunders conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: New Star stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Star VS Saunders
1.33 Goals Scored 0.88
2.67 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saunders33008:29
2Maligawatte Youth31115:34
3New Star31024:83
4Blue Star30122:61
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Renown320111:36
2Java Lane32016:56
3Red Star32014:36
4Moragasmulla30034:140