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New York City II vs CT United FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Belson Stadium, New York, NY
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Match Events

56'
Sub
Arroyave J. In: Flax C.
Out: Arroyave J.
56'
Sub
Campos A. In: Ponce J.
Out: Campos A.
59' Event
Sunjic L.

AI Match Summary

New York City II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York City II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
New York City II
15%
Draws
34%
CT United FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New York City II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CT United FC at 2.18 per game, New York City II at 1.93.
  • New York City II are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and New York City II have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
New York City II Clean Sheet 10%
CT United FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York City II CT United FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.93 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs CT United FC
1:0
Jun 26, 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs New York City II
1:4
Apr 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs CT United FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Sunjic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

CT United FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York City II 34 / 100
CT United FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York City II CT United FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York City II scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

CT United FC let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: New York City II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New York City II VS CT United FC
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

New York City II

(Home)
20 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2
New York City II
13 Sept
New York City II
1 : 0
CT United FC
08 Sept
New York City II
4 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
01 Sept
Inter Miami II
4 : 2
New York City II
28 Aug
Toronto FC II
2 : 0
New York City II
Page 1 of 6

CT United FC

(Away)
20 Sept
CT United FC
7 : 2
Inter Miami II
13 Sept
New York City II
1 : 0
CT United FC
08 Sept
Atlanta United 2
4 : 1
CT United FC
29 Aug
CT United FC
2 : 4
New York Red Bulls II
23 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 4
CT United FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)