Sport Picks
New York City vs Atlanta United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Yankee Stadium, New York, NY 
AI Match Summary
New York City host Atlanta United in the MLS. This one's hard to separate. New York City have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Atlanta United's 1.31 scored and 1.66 conceded. Head-to-head, New York City have won 1 to Atlanta United's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.25) point toward New York City. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Atlanta United have won more games recently than New York City.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New York City | Atlanta United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atlanta United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
New York City scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: New York City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
New York City
(Home)Atlanta United
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 63:31 | 55 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56:41 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 55:47 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:39 | 47 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:33 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39:37 | 42 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 39 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 45:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 51:56 | 34 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | 34 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 47:55 | 34 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 38:56 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36:75 | 22 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:23 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 73:51 | 55 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 49:41 | 52 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 53:45 | 47 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 61:48 | 46 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 58:70 | 41 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 39:56 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 60:70 | 36 |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 46:55 | 36 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 46:47 | 35 |
| 12 | New York City | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43:41 | 34 |
| 13 | DC United | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 37:51 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37:51 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:60 | 25 |
