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New York City vs CF Montreal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Yankee Stadium, New York, NY
New York City Logo

New York City

1 - 1
FT
CF Montreal Logo

CF Montreal

Our Tip

Match Events

23'
O'Toole K.
29'
Sanchez A.
38'
Pereira D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
New York City
35%
Draws
16%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: New York City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CF Montreal lately — more wins on the board than New York City.
  • Win probability leans New York City's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CF Montreal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
New York City Clean Sheet 19%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York City CF Montreal
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 MLS
New York City vs CF Montreal
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs New York City
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs New York City
1:0
May 10, 2025 MLS
New York City vs CF Montreal
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs New York City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Perea A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CF Montreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Rios D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York City 76 / 100
CF Montreal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York City CF Montreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York City's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CF Montreal let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

New York City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CF Montreal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

New York City VS CF Montreal
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

New York City

(Home)
31 Oct
New York City
1 : 1
CF Montreal
28 Oct
New York City
2 : 1
Atlanta United
24 Oct
Orlando City
2 : 2
New York City
17 Oct
New York City
1 : 1
Los Angeles FC
14 Oct
Inter Miami
2 : 0
New York City
Page 1 of 6

CF Montreal

(Away)
31 Oct
New York City
1 : 1
CF Montreal
28 Oct
Charlotte FC
4 : 0
CF Montreal
24 Oct
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Nashville SC
21 Oct
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Forge FC
18 Oct
Seattle Sounders
1 : 1
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 33 18 7 8 72:34 61
2 FC Dallas 33 15 10 8 59:50 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes 33 14 10 9 56:48 52
4 St. Louis City 33 14 9 10 58:48 51
5 Houston Dynamo 33 14 9 10 43:42 51
6 Los Angeles FC 33 12 11 10 51:38 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy 33 11 11 11 49:55 44
8 Portland Timbers 33 12 7 14 60:61 43
9 Colorado Rapids 33 12 7 14 46:47 43
10 Seattle Sounders 33 11 10 12 42:45 43
11 Real Salt Lake 33 12 6 15 51:51 42
12 Minnesota United 33 10 11 12 53:57 41
13 San Diego FC 33 9 11 13 57:62 38
14 Austin FC 33 8 10 15 42:63 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 33 6 5 22 39:81 23
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 33 22 8 3 69:25 74
2 Inter Miami 33 16 11 6 77:56 59
3 New England Revolution 33 18 4 11 55:46 58
4 Chicago Fire 33 16 7 10 61:50 55
5 Charlotte FC 33 15 8 10 63:48 53
6 Philadelphia Union 33 13 8 12 62:51 47
7 FC Cincinnati 33 12 10 11 67:73 46
8 Columbus Crew 33 13 5 15 55:49 44
9 Orlando City 33 12 7 14 62:78 43
10 New York Red Bulls 33 11 6 16 45:62 39
11 New York City 33 9 12 12 48:45 39
12 Toronto FC 33 9 12 12 51:63 39
13 Atlanta United 33 9 6 18 43:57 33
14 DC United 33 7 12 14 39:60 33
15 CF Montreal 33 6 8 19 37:67 26
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)