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New York City vs Los Angeles FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Yankee Stadium, New York, NY
New York City Logo

New York City

Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Los Angeles FC Logo

Los Angeles FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New York City host Los Angeles FC in the MLS. Little to choose between these two on current form. Los Angeles FC have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while New York City have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.43. Head-to-head, New York City have won 1 to Los Angeles FC's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.06, favoring Los Angeles FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
New York City
30%
Draws
39%
Los Angeles FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Los Angeles FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Los Angeles FC lately — more wins on the board than New York City.
  • New York City are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
New York City Clean Sheet 20%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York City Los Angeles FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Los Angeles FC vs New York City
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs New York City
1:0
Jan 28, 2023 Club Friendly
New York City vs Los Angeles FC
1:1
May 29, 2021 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs New York City
1:2
May 25, 2020 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs New York City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York City 49 / 100
Los Angeles FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York City Los Angeles FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York City scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Los Angeles FC let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: New York City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New York City VS Los Angeles FC
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New York City

(Home)
10 Oct
Chicago Fire
2 : 1
New York City
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2
New York City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
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Los Angeles FC

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Real Salt Lake
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)