Sport Picks
New York City vs Nashville SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Yankee Stadium, New York, NY 
Match Events
13'
13'
Najar A.
49'
49'
Yazbek P.
53'
53'
Mukhtar H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nashville SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Nashville SC have won more games recently than New York City.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
New York City Clean Sheet 15%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New York City | Nashville SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 MLS
New York City vs Nashville SC
0:0
May 24, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs New York City
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 MLS
New York City vs Nashville SC
2:1
May 31, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs New York City
2:2
Oct 6, 2024 MLS
New York City vs Nashville SC
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New York City 35 / 100
Nashville SC 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New York City Nashville SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New York City found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
New York City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Nashville SC let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
New York City VS Nashville SC
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
New York City
(Home) 26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2 New York City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1 New York Red Bulls
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2 New York City
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2 New England Revolution
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0 Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1 New York Red Bulls
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2 New England Revolution
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0 Nashville SC
16 Aug
New York City
2 : 3 Philadelphia Union
13 Aug
New York City
1 : 2 Necaxa
Page 1 of 3
Nashville SC
(Away) 27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0 Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0 Nashville SC
19 Aug
New York Red Bulls
0 : 1 Nashville SC
13 Aug
Monterrey
2 : 1 Nashville SC
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
