Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York City vs St. Louis City

USA USA

MLS Yankee Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Edelman D.
50' Event
Wolf H.
Assist: Moralez M.
56'
Orozco J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
New York City
44%
Draws
20%
St. Louis City
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Louis City average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of New York City's 1.5.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
New York City Clean Sheet 16%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York City St. Louis City
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 MLS
New York City vs St. Louis City
1:1
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
St. Louis City vs New York City
3:1
Mar 3, 2024 MLS
St. Louis City vs New York City
2:0
Feb 15, 2023 Club Friendly
New York City vs St. Louis City
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Wolf H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

St. Louis City Compare

Top Goalscorer McSorley B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York City 36 / 100
St. Louis City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York City St. Louis City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York City scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

St. Louis City let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

New York City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York City VS St. Louis City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307