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New York Cosmos vs AV Alta FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Hinchliffe Stadium, Paterson, NJ
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Match Events

8'
Sub
Desdunes J. In: Aoumaich A.
Out: Desdunes J.
39'
Ramos O.
52'
Ortiz C.

AI Match Summary

New York Cosmos in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York Cosmos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
New York Cosmos
15%
Draws
0%
AV Alta FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New York Cosmos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • AV Alta FC have won more games recently than New York Cosmos.
  • New York Cosmos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 20%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Cosmos AV Alta FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.18 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 USL League One
New York Cosmos vs AV Alta FC
1:0
May 24, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs New York Cosmos
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Cosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Guenzatti S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

AV Alta FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Cosmos 85 / 100
AV Alta FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Cosmos AV Alta FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York Cosmos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: AV Alta FC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

New York Cosmos found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

AV Alta FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

New York Cosmos VS AV Alta FC
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Cosmos

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Westchester SC
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4
New York Cosmos
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AV Alta FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1
AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0
AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2
One Knoxville
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0
AV Alta FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)