Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York Cosmos vs FC Naples

USA USA

USL League One Hinchliffe Stadium, Paterson, NJ
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Yearwood J.
42'
Sub
Noecker W. In: Morabito M.
Out: Noecker W.
56' Event
Marsh C.
Assist: Spengler A.

AI Match Summary

New York Cosmos in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York Cosmos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
New York Cosmos
39%
Draws
31%
FC Naples
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • New York Cosmos haven't matched FC Naples's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 14%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Cosmos FC Naples
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 USL League One
New York Cosmos vs FC Naples
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Cosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsh C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Naples Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Cosmos 30 / 100
FC Naples 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Cosmos FC Naples

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: FC Naples has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

New York Cosmos found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Naples let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

New York Cosmos VS FC Naples
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Cosmos

(Home)
25 Jul
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
22 Jul
Westchester SC
3 : 0
New York Cosmos
18 Jul
New York Cosmos
0 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
11 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
08 Jul
New York Cosmos
1 : 0
FC Naples
Page 1 of 6

FC Naples

(Away)
25 Jul
Forward Madison
3 : 1
FC Naples
11 Jul
Tampa Bay
2 : 0
FC Naples
08 Jul
New York Cosmos
1 : 0
FC Naples
03 Jul
FC Naples
2 : 3
Portland Hearts of Pine
20 Jun
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
FC Naples
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha18112529:2135
2Charlotte Independence17103439:2633
3One Knoxville17103430:1733
4Spokane Velocity18102625:2232
5Athletic Club Boise1893627:2530
6Forward Madison1592429:1529
7AV Alta FC1978426:2129
8Chattanooga Red Wolves1591528:1728
9Fort Wayne1776425:1727
10Corpus Christi FC1857621:2622
11Portland Hearts of Pine1755726:2820
12Westchester SC1854928:2519
13Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
14FC Naples18521119:3017
15Greenville Triumph1542914:2514
16Richmond Kickers17331113:3312
17New York Cosmos17321218:3811
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)