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New York Cosmos vs One Knoxville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Hinchliffe Stadium, Paterson, NJ
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New York Cosmos host One Knoxville in the USL League One. One Knoxville are expected to control this from the start. New York Cosmos have averaged 1.18 scored and 2.07 conceded recently, against One Knoxville's 1.76 scored and 1.34 conceded. Head-to-head, New York Cosmos have won 0 to One Knoxville's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.69) point toward One Knoxville. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
New York Cosmos
15%
Draws
46%
One Knoxville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: One Knoxville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • One Knoxville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 13%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Cosmos One Knoxville
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.18 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs New York Cosmos
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Cosmos 35 / 100
One Knoxville 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Cosmos One Knoxville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick One Knoxville Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

New York Cosmos scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

One Knoxville has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: New York Cosmos stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York Cosmos VS One Knoxville
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Cosmos

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Westchester SC
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4
New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6

One Knoxville

(Away)
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1
One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 29 18 6 5 67:42 60
3 Forward Madison 29 15 7 7 50:27 52
4 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
5 Athletic Club Boise 29 14 7 8 45:39 49
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 29 11 9 9 45:37 42
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
11 Westchester SC 29 9 6 14 48:46 33
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 29 7 10 12 43:53 31
15 New York Cosmos 28 7 4 17 36:56 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)