Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York Cosmos vs Portland Hearts of Pine

USA USA

USL League One Hinchliffe Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Washington T. In: Camara A.
Out: Washington T.
46'
Sub
Scarlett Z. In: Armour A.
Out: Scarlett Z.
56' Event
Georgallides K.
Assist: Wada M.

AI Match Summary

New York Cosmos host Portland Hearts of Pine in the USL League One. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. New York Cosmos have averaged 0.75 scored and 2.88 conceded recently, against Portland Hearts of Pine's 2 scored and 2.5 conceded. Head-to-head, New York Cosmos have won 0 to Portland Hearts of Pine's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 2.44) back Portland Hearts of Pine to edge this. Portland Hearts of Pine in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
New York Cosmos
22%
Draws
60%
Portland Hearts of Pine
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Portland Hearts of Pine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Portland Hearts of Pine has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to New York Cosmos.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Portland Hearts of Pine.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL League One provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Cosmos Portland Hearts of Pine
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 USL Cup
Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos
2:1
May 2, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 USL League One
New York Cosmos vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Cosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidoel D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Portland Hearts of Pine Compare

Top Goalscorer Georgallides K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wada M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Cosmos 18 / 100
Portland Hearts of Pine 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Cosmos Portland Hearts of Pine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Cosmos scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Portland Hearts of Pine let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

New York Cosmos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Portland Hearts of Pine lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York Cosmos VS Portland Hearts of Pine
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310