Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York Red Bulls II vs Columbus Crew 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro MSU Soccer Park, New York, NY
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Rosborough T.
Assist: Mosquera R.
15'
Sub
Benedetti N. In: Cadigan D.
Out: Benedetti N.
21' Event
Gbamble K.
Assist: Adu-Gyamfi B.

AI Match Summary

New York Red Bulls II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York Red Bulls II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
New York Red Bulls II
17%
Draws
70%
Columbus Crew 2
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Columbus Crew 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New York Red Bulls II lately — more wins on the board than Columbus Crew 2.
  • Model gives Columbus Crew 2 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors New York Red Bulls II here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%
Columbus Crew 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls II Columbus Crew 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Columbus Crew 2
4:1
Mar 1, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Columbus Crew 2
4:2
Aug 31, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Columbus Crew 2
7:4
Jul 31, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
1:2
May 25, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitchell R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rosborough T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Columbus Crew 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gbamble K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adams C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls II 14 / 100
Columbus Crew 2 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls II Columbus Crew 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls II's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Columbus Crew 2 conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Solid form: New York Red Bulls II remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New York Red Bulls II VS Columbus Crew 2
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Red Bulls II

(Home)
24 Jul
New York Red Bulls II
0 : 3
Crown Legacy
19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
Chicago Fire II
3 : 0
New York Red Bulls II
05 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 6

Columbus Crew 2

(Away)
18 Jul
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
15 Jul
New England Revolution II
2 : 3
Columbus Crew 2
28 Jun
Orlando City B
2 : 3
Columbus Crew 2
21 Jun
Columbus Crew 2
3 : 2
Atlanta United 2
14 Jun
FC Cincinnati 2
0 : 1
Columbus Crew 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2New England Revolution II18120626:2035
3New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
4CT United FC18100833:3228
5New York City II1790827:2628
6Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
7Toronto FC II20801231:3825
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Chattanooga20130739:3037
3Orlando City B19120740:3335
4Atlanta United 21890938:2830
5Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
6Huntsville City18801031:3525
7Carolina Core21601527:3721
8Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
2Ventura County20120837:2735
3Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
4San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
5Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
6Real Monarchs19100931:3526
7Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
4St. Louis City 219100930:3229
5North Texas18801029:2326
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
3Chattanooga20130739:3037
4New England Revolution II18120626:2035
5Orlando City B19120740:3335
6New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
7Atlanta United 21890938:2830
8Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
9CT United FC18100833:3228
10New York City II1790827:2628
11Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
12Toronto FC II20801231:3825
13Huntsville City18801031:3525
14Carolina Core21601527:3721
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
4Ventura County20120837:2735
5Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
6Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
7St. Louis City 219100930:3229
8San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
9Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
10North Texas18801029:2326
11Real Monarchs19100931:3526
12Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)