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New York Red Bulls II vs Toronto FC II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro MSU Soccer Park, New York, NY
New York Red Bulls II Logo

New York Red Bulls II

5 - 1
FT
Toronto FC II Logo

Toronto FC II

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Khodri E.
Assist: Nue-Brito D.
19' Event
Gjengaar D.
Assist: Worth N.
42' Event
Gjengaar D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between New York Red Bulls II and Toronto FC II finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New York Red Bulls II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
New York Red Bulls II
15%
Draws
42%
Toronto FC II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New York Red Bulls II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Toronto FC II haven't matched New York Red Bulls II's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on New York Red Bulls II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and New York Red Bulls II have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls II Toronto FC II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 2.2 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Toronto FC II
5:1
Jun 21, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Toronto FC II
5:0
May 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs New York Red Bulls II
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Toronto FC II
2:1
Jul 11, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs New York Red Bulls II
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Top Goalscorer Gjengaar D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rojas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Toronto FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Khodri E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls II 83 / 100
Toronto FC II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls II Toronto FC II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York Red Bulls II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls II's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Toronto FC II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: New York Red Bulls II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York Red Bulls II VS Toronto FC II
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Red Bulls II

(Home)
20 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
1 : 2
Huntsville City
13 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
08 Sept
New York City II
4 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
29 Aug
CT United FC
2 : 4
New York Red Bulls II
23 Aug
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 1
Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 6

Toronto FC II

(Away)
20 Sept
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
13 Sept
Orlando City B
3 : 1
Toronto FC II
08 Sept
Toronto FC II
4 : 2
Columbus Crew 2
04 Sept
Toronto FC II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
28 Aug
Toronto FC II
2 : 0
New York City II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)