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New York Red Bulls U23 vs Northern Virginia Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2018 game between New York Red Bulls U23 and Northern Virginia finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New York Red Bulls U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
New York Red Bulls U23
15%
Draws
32%
Northern Virginia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New York Red Bulls U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • New York Red Bulls U23 haven't matched Northern Virginia's recent run of results.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors New York Red Bulls U23 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
New York Red Bulls U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Northern Virginia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls U23 Northern Virginia
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2.8
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2018 USL League Two
New York Red Bulls U23 vs Northern Virginia
6:2
Jun 16, 2018 USL League Two
Northern Virginia vs New York Red Bulls U23
2:4
Jul 15, 2017 USL League Two
New York Red Bulls U23 vs Northern Virginia
4:1
Jun 24, 2017 USL League Two
Northern Virginia vs New York Red Bulls U23
1:10
Jul 16, 2016 USL League Two
New York Red Bulls U23 vs Northern Virginia
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls U23 30 / 100
Northern Virginia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls U23 Northern Virginia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern Virginia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.20 goals.

New York Red Bulls U23's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Northern Virginia let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

New York Red Bulls U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Northern Virginia
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Red Bulls U23

(Home)
17 Jul
West Chester United
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls U23
13 Jul
New York Red Bulls U23
2 : 0
New Jersey Copa
11 Jul
New York Red Bulls U23
1 : 1
Motown 2
07 Jul
New York Red Bulls U23
5 : 1
Westchester Flames
05 Jul
New York Red Bulls U23
2 : 0
Manhattan
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Northern Virginia

(Away)
11 Jul
Loudoun United 2
2 : 1
Northern Virginia
08 Jul
Northern Virginia
2 : 4
Lionsbridge
06 Jul
Northern Virginia
8 : 0
Patuxent
24 Jun
Northern Virginia
3 : 4
Hill City
21 Jun
Annapolis Blues
0 : 3
Northern Virginia
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