Sport Picks
New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ 
AI Match Summary
New York Red Bulls host Atlanta United in the MLS. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Atlanta United have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while New York Red Bulls have conceded 1.83 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Atlanta United slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.31, favoring Atlanta United. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Atlanta United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New York Red Bulls | Atlanta United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atlanta United let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
New York Red Bulls scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Atlanta United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
New York Red Bulls
(Home)Atlanta United
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 72:34 | 61 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 59:50 | 55 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 56:48 | 52 |
| 4 | St. Louis City | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 58:48 | 51 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 51:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 49:55 | 44 |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 60:61 | 43 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46:47 | 43 |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 51:51 | 42 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 53:57 | 41 |
| 13 | San Diego FC | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 57:62 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 42:63 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 39:81 | 23 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 69:25 | 74 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 77:56 | 59 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 55:46 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 61:50 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 63:48 | 53 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 62:51 | 47 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 67:73 | 46 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 55:49 | 44 |
| 9 | Orlando City | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62:78 | 43 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 45:62 | 39 |
| 11 | New York City | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 48:45 | 39 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 51:63 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 43:57 | 33 |
| 14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 39:60 | 33 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 37:67 | 26 |
