Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati

USA USA

MLS Sports Illustrated Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Hall J.
Assist: Cowell C.
17' Event
Bucha P.
Assist: Denkey K.
37'
Ramirez Leon B. J.

AI Match Summary

New York Red Bulls host FC Cincinnati in the MLS. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: New York Red Bulls at 1.75 goals for, 2.38 against; FC Cincinnati at 2.63 for, 2.5 against. Head-to-head, New York Red Bulls have won 2 to FC Cincinnati's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.13 - 2.50) back FC Cincinnati to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
New York Red Bulls
33%
Draws
40%
FC Cincinnati
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Cincinnati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Cincinnati has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to New York Red Bulls.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for FC Cincinnati.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 10%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls FC Cincinnati
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.75 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati
4:2
Oct 4, 2025 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls
1:0
Jul 20, 2024 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forsberg E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FC Cincinnati Compare

Top Goalscorer Bucha P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls 26 / 100
FC Cincinnati 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls FC Cincinnati

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

FC Cincinnati let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

New York Red Bulls went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Cincinnati lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York Red Bulls VS FC Cincinnati
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307