Sport Picks

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New York Red Bulls vs Sarasota Paradise

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Watters D.
31' Event
64' Event
Rojas A.

AI Match Summary

Sarasota Paradise in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarasota Paradise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
New York Red Bulls
33%
Draws
27%
Sarasota Paradise
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: New York Red Bulls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sarasota Paradise haven't matched New York Red Bulls's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans New York Red Bulls's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 18%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls Sarasota Paradise
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.8 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.40 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
New York Red Bulls vs Sarasota Paradise
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Sarasota Paradise Compare

Top Goalscorer Watters D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls 40 / 100
Sarasota Paradise 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls Sarasota Paradise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: New York Red Bulls scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Sarasota Paradise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

New York Red Bulls went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York Red Bulls VS Sarasota Paradise
0.8 Goals Scored 1.25
1.4 Goals Conceded 0.88
80% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Red Bulls

(Home)
25 Jul
New York Red Bulls
0 : 2
Charlotte FC
22 Jul
Philadelphia Union
3 : 1
New York Red Bulls
24 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2
New York Red Bulls
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1
New York City
13 May
New York Red Bulls
3 : 2
Columbus Crew
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Sarasota Paradise

(Away)
29 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 2
Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Sarasota Paradise
11 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
0 : 5
Miami FC
08 Jul
Greenville Triumph
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
03 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
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