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New Zealand U16 vs Papua New Guinea U16

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U16 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Beschel S.
47' Event
Hamilton H.
48' Event
Wilson B.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U16 2018 game between New Zealand U16 and Papua New Guinea U16 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Zealand U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U16
6%
Draws
4%
Papua New Guinea U16
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Papua New Guinea U16 haven't matched New Zealand U16's recent run of results.
  • Model gives New Zealand U16 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors New Zealand U16 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
New Zealand U16 Clean Sheet 20%
Papua New Guinea U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U16 Papua New Guinea U16
Matches Played 22 13
Wins 19 4
Draws 1 1
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 3.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U16 vs Papua New Guinea U16
3:0
Aug 27, 2025 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U16 vs Papua New Guinea U16
2:0
Sep 14, 2018 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U16 vs Papua New Guinea U16
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamilton H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wilson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Papua New Guinea U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Beschel S.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U16 85 / 100
Papua New Guinea U16 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U16 Papua New Guinea U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U16 scored in 86% of their last 22 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

New Zealand U16 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Papua New Guinea U16 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 13 outings.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U16 VS Papua New Guinea U16
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U16

(Home)
25 Jul
Fiji U16
0 : 5
New Zealand U16
22 Jul
New Zealand U16
3 : 0
Papua New Guinea U16
19 Jul
Vanuatu U16
0 : 7
New Zealand U16
16 Jul
New Zealand U16
6 : 1
Tahiti U16
13 Jul
New Zealand U16
5 : 1
Solomon Islands U16
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Papua New Guinea U16

(Away)
25 Jul
Solomon Islands U16
2 : 1
Papua New Guinea U16
22 Jul
New Zealand U16
3 : 0
Papua New Guinea U16
18 Jul
Fiji U16
3 : 0
Papua New Guinea U16
15 Jul
New Caledonia U16
0 : 1
Papua New Guinea U16
12 Jul
Papua New Guinea U16
4 : 0
Samoa U16
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Solomon Islands U16330015:09
2New Zealand U16320112:86
3Papua New Guinea U1631028:93
4Vanuatu U1630030:180
Promotion - OFC Championship U16 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U16 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tahiti U16330010:29
2Fiji U1632014:56
3New Caledonia U1630122:41
4Samoa U1630124:91
Promotion - OFC Championship U16 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U16 2018 (Play Offs)