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New Zealand U17 vs Tahiti U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2015
Tue, Jan 27, 2015
2 - 1
02:30 AM
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Match Events

60' Event
81' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with New Zealand U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
New Zealand U17
6%
Draws
90%
Tahiti U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tahiti U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tahiti U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • New Zealand U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor New Zealand U17, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
New Zealand U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Tahiti U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U17 Tahiti U17
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 17 14
Draws 2 1
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 2.75 3.4
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2015 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs Tahiti U17
2:1
Jan 19, 2011 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs Tahiti U17
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U17 10 / 100
Tahiti U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U17 Tahiti U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: New Zealand U17 scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Tahiti U17 has conceded goals in 47% of their last 19 outings.

Tahiti U17's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U17 VS Tahiti U17
2.75 Goals Scored 3.4
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U17

(Home)
11 Nov
New Zealand U17
1 : 4
Austria U17
08 Nov
Saudi Arabia U17
3 : 2
New Zealand U17
05 Nov
Mali U17
3 : 0
New Zealand U17
18 Nov
New Zealand U17
0 : 4
Mexico U17
15 Nov
New Zealand U17
1 : 3
Germany U17
Page 1 of 7

Tahiti U17

(Away)
28 Jan
Tahiti U17
3 : 0
Fiji U17
25 Jan
New Caledonia U17
2 : 1
Tahiti U17
21 Jan
Tahiti U17
5 : 0
Tonga U17
14 Jan
Tahiti U17
6 : 0
Cook Islands U17
11 Jan
Tahiti U17
2 : 1
Vanuatu U17
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand U175
Vanuatu U171
Tahiti U173
New Caledonia U172
Final
New Zealand U172
Tahiti U171
Vanuatu U176
New Caledonia U170