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New Zealand U17 vs Tahiti U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2011 North Harbour Stadium
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

New Zealand U17 host Tahiti U17 in the OFC Championship U17 2011. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Tahiti U17 have shipped 0.6 goals a game lately, while New Zealand U17 have conceded 1.38 and scored 2.75. Head-to-head, New Zealand U17 have won 2 to Tahiti U17's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 27, 2015, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.68 xG vs 2.39) point toward Tahiti U17. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
New Zealand U17
6%
Draws
90%
Tahiti U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tahiti U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U17 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tahiti U17.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tahiti U17.
  • Cup tournament structure in OFC Championship U17 2011 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
New Zealand U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Tahiti U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U17 Tahiti U17
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 17 14
Draws 2 1
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 2.75 3.4
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2015 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs Tahiti U17
2:1
Jan 19, 2011 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs Tahiti U17
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U17 10 / 100
Tahiti U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U17 Tahiti U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U17 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Tahiti U17 let in goals in 47% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

New Zealand U17 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Tahiti U17 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U17 VS Tahiti U17
2.75 Goals Scored 3.4
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
New Zealand U172
Tahiti U170
Vanuatu U170
Solomon Islands U172