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New Zealand U17 W vs Papua New Guinea U17 W

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 Women 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U17 W play Papua New Guinea U17 W in the OFC Championship U17 Women 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, New Zealand U17 W averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Papua New Guinea U17 W averaged 0 goals scored and 8 conceded. In past meetings, New Zealand U17 W won 3, Papua New Guinea U17 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 24, 2016 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for New Zealand U17 W and 1.19 for Papua New Guinea U17 W. This points to a New Zealand U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
New Zealand U17 W
17%
Draws
70%
Papua New Guinea U17 W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Papua New Guinea U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U17 W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Papua New Guinea U17 W.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Papua New Guinea U17 W.
  • Cup tournament structure in OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
New Zealand U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Papua New Guinea U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U17 W Papua New Guinea U17 W
Matches Played 35 11
Wins 15 6
Draws 3 1
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 2.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 8
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 8.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2016 OFC Championship U16 Women
New Zealand U17 W vs Papua New Guinea U17 W
8:0
Apr 13, 2012 OFC Championship U16 Women
Papua New Guinea U17 W vs New Zealand U17 W
0:9
Apr 14, 2010 OFC Championship U16 Women
New Zealand U17 W vs Papua New Guinea U17 W
9:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U17 W 16 / 100
Papua New Guinea U17 W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U17 W Papua New Guinea U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U17 W scored in 63% of their last 35 games.

Papua New Guinea U17 W let in goals in 82% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 8.67 goals.

New Zealand U17 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Papua New Guinea U17 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U17 W VS Papua New Guinea U17 W
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 8
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand U17 W11
Fiji U17 W0
Papua New Guinea U17 W2
New Caledonia U17 W1
Final
New Zealand U17 W8
Papua New Guinea U17 W0
Fiji U17 W3
New Caledonia U17 W2