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New Zealand U18 vs Philippines U18

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U18 2017
Wed, Sep 13, 2017
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U18 play Philippines U18 in the AFF Championship U18 2017. New Zealand U18 are favorites here. Recently, New Zealand U18 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Philippines U18 averaged 0.5 goals scored and 6 conceded. In past meetings, New Zealand U18 won 0, Philippines U18 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 13, 2017 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for New Zealand U18 and 1.00 for Philippines U18. This points to a New Zealand U18 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
New Zealand U18
25%
Draws
15%
Philippines U18
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: New Zealand U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U18 picked up more points recently compared to Philippines U18.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20%
New Zealand U18 Clean Sheet 23%
Philippines U18 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U18 Philippines U18
Matches Played 10 4
Wins 5 0
Draws 3 0
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 1.8 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.1 6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2017 ASEAN Championship U19
New Zealand U18 vs Philippines U18
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U18 59 / 100
Philippines U18 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U18 Philippines U18

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Zealand U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick New Zealand U18 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

New Zealand U18 attacking → ← attacking Philippines U18

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philippines U18 let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Philippines U18 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 0
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.40
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.80

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Malaysia U18541013:313
2Thailand U1854109:213
3Timor-Leste U1852127:107
4Singapore U18520310:116
5Cambodia U1851138:104
6Laos U1850055:160
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Indonesia U18430119:49
2Myanmar U18430117:39
3Vietnam U18430117:39
4Brunei U1841034:253
5Philippines U1840042:240
6New Zealand U1800000:00